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About
Overview
Andrew Payne is a Senior Lecturer in Foreign Policy and Security at City St George's, University of London, where his research examines the politics of U.S. foreign policy. He is also a Research Director at Chatham House, covering Europe, Russia and the Americas, and a Research Associate at the University of Oxford. His first book, War on the Ballot: How the Election Cycle Shapes Presidential Decision-Making in War, was published by Columbia University Press in 2023. His research has been published in several peer-reviewed journals, including International Security, Presidential Studies Quarterly, Politics, and Contemporary Politics. He is a frequent contributor of expert analysis on U.S. politics and policy, with bylines in Foreign Affairs, Foreign Policy, The Washington Post, The Sunday Times, Scientific American and The Conversation. His writing, commentary and research has also featured in a range of international media, including The Atlantic, USA Today, Newsweek and Voice of America. He is a Fellow of the Higher Education Academy.
Publications
Publications by category
Book
- Payne, A. (2023). War on the Ballot How the Election Cycle Shapes Presidential Decision-Making in War. Columbia University Press. ISBN 9780231558044.
Chapters (3)
- Payne, A. and Hudson, M. (2023). The United States in the Middle East. International Relations of the Middle East Oxford University Press, USA. ISBN 9780192893680.
- Payne, A. and Hudson, M.C. (2023). 14. The United States in the Middle East. International Relations of the Middle East (pp. 317-339). Oxford University Press. ISBN 9780192893680.
- Sluglett, P. and Payne, A. (2019). 3. The Cold War in the Middle East. International Relations of the Middle East (pp. 63-79). Oxford University Press. ISBN 9780198809425.
Internet publications (2)
- Payne, A.(2022).How Domestic Politics Affects Military Strategy and Why Leaders Need To Understand It. Modern War Institute at West Point.
- Payne, A.(2019).Three Reasons Why Negotiating Anything Important to U.S. National Security is a Bad Idea during the 2020 Campaign Season. LSE US Politics and Policy Blog.
Journal articles (6)
- Payne, A. (2024). The Politics of Restraint in the Middle East. The US Army War College Quarterly: Parameters, 54(1). doi:10.55540/0031-1723.3274
- Payne, A. (2023). Bargaining with the Military: How Presidents Manage the Political Costs of Civilian Control. International Security, 48(1), pp. 166-207. doi:10.1162/isec_a_00468
- Fawcett, L. and Payne, A. (2023). Stuck on a hostile path? US policy towards Iran since the revolution. Contemporary Politics, 29(1), pp. 1-21. doi:10.1080/13569775.2022.2029239
- Michaels, J.H. and Payne, A. (2022). One President at a Time? How the President‐Elect Shapes U.S. Foreign Policy during the Transition. Presidential Studies Quarterly, 52(4), pp. 730-758. doi:10.1111/psq.12795
- Payne, A. (2021). Bringing the boys back home: Campaign promises and US decision-making in Iraq and Vietnam. Politics, 41(1), pp. 95-110. doi:10.1177/0263395720937205
- Payne, A. (2020). Presidents, Politics, and Military Strategy: Electoral Constraints during the Iraq War. International Security, 44(3), pp. 163-203. doi:10.1162/isec_a_00371
Media (12)
- Payne, A. and Friedman, J.(2024). Americans Love a Tough Guy: Why Trump Won on Foreign Policy—and What the Democrats Can Learn From Him.
- Payne, A. and Michaels, J.(2024). America Does Not Have 'One President at a Time'.
- Payne, A.(2024). Why Biden's Withdrawal Made Containing War in the Middle East Harder.
- Payne, A. and Friedman, J.(2024). The Myth That Foreign Policy Doesn’t Matter in Presidential Elections.
- Payne, A.(2024). Kamala Harris has a different view on Gaza to Joe Biden – it could win her votes in November.
- Payne, A.(2024). Middle East conflict: Joe Biden must weigh the risks of using force in an election year.
- Payne, A.(2023). What Drives US Support for Ukraine? Joe Biden's Strategy Explained.
- Payne, A. and Fawcett, L.(2022). Iran Nuclear Deal: To Reset Relations with Tehran, Biden Must Overcome a Long Legacy of Mistrust at Home.
- Payne, A.(2020). Lost in Transition: How Trump’s Lame Duck Presidency Could Have a Lasting Impact on US Foreign Policy.
- Payne, A.(2020). October Surprise: How Foreign Policy Can Shape US Presidential Elections.
- Payne, A., Sky, E. and Kaplan, M.(2020). U.S. Electoral Constraints, Military Strategy, and the Iraq War.
- Payne, A.(2020). Trump Just De-Escalated in the Middle East. Here’s Why We Shouldn’t Be Surprised.